Nephewsitting Observations and Their Implications for Astrophysics
The nephew in question is aproximnately 24 inches long by 9 inches wide, with a depth when laid on his back of 3-4 inches.
There is no WAY that much poo could have been stored in him, especially when one makes allowances for the likely presence of organs and bones and stuff.
This would seem to be evidence for the presence of a wormhole.
The characterizations of the kids, (er ducklings)are way better I was particularly relieved with what they did with Webby, who is a really neat character.
Posted by: Ben at Thu Aug 17 00:02:25 2017 (S4UJw)
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Man, on my campus, if someone "needed" a class to graduate, they'd be pushing the prof in charge to offer it as an "arranged" or "readings class (as an unpaid overload to the prof).
I've done it myself, for a student who was almost at the end of her visa...
there's nothing they can do to work with you?
Posted by: fillyjonk at Thu Aug 17 07:52:42 2017 (ex2D8)
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I've heard a little bit about this. Something like Attack On Titan, only with kaiju. I find it incredibly interesting that the Godzilla model is a cross of the Millennium design with the Legendary design, rather than aping the cartoon character that Anno created.
Posted by: Ben at Wed Aug 16 11:16:51 2017 (B1bvu)
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And Polygon, the same CGI animation folks who did Knights of Sidonia.
Posted by: Mauser at Wed Aug 16 18:52:28 2017 (TYvUn)
Attack on Titan Season 2Attack on Titan continues to be unpredictable, generally well animated and interesting. It is also a seinen show and keeps the attention of its adolescent audience by tempering its introspective moments and thoughtful observations with amazing action scenes and visuals that frequently go beyond graphic to full on baroque in their depiction of carnage.
This space intentionally left blank.
After all the hints in season one, they are finally exploring what the hell was (and is) behind the calamity that inflicted implacable solar powered cannibalistic giants upon society.
That actual expository plot is kind of incoherent and at the end of the series we still have no idea what is actually behind this calamity, except that there appears to be a conspiracy of some sort. The whole thing is treated as the MacGuffin that it is.
The show's strength, however is in how its characters react to their frankly insane and increasingly hopeless situations.
Mercifully not pictured; their situation.
This is a show that's had very good characterizations...except for the main character, who seems to be a parody of a shonen protagonist. He's not at all lacking in courage or determination, but he's not particularly good at his job. The side charachters however, are fascinating and intelligently written. Several of them are quite likable too...
The moody direction and sense of trancendental dread of the early episodes of the season are not as well handled in the latter half, which relies on increasingly bizarre plot twists, and breakneck pacing only interrupted by an episode of fairly non-expository dialog that seems to have been placed there just to get to the requisite number of episodes.
Despite that and its gruesome visuals the series is still interesting enough that I hope they do another season. Its splatterpunk tendencies notwithstanding, the show manages to have some remarkably effective and even subtle horror. It has quite a bit to say about the importance of redemption, as well as the nature of true heroism....
...the 'last stand of Potato Girl' being particularly epic in that regard .
The show was wildly uneven and should not be watched while eating, but it remains surprisingly interesting.
It Appears That There Might Be Job Openings For Disc Jockeys in Piti and Agana
In the early morning of the 15th (which was yesterday in Guam) the radio stations KSTO and KTWGbroadcast a civil defense missile attack alert.
I looked them up to see if Guam had two competing gonzo troll stations, but it appears that KSTO is adult contemporary and KTWG is gospel. Neither seems likely to pull a stunt like this and given their formats, a coordinated broadcast between the two seems unlikely.
My guess (as a former DJ) is that they got a new DHS duck and cover alert and (being a PSA) it was placed in the tray with the PSA carts (or whatever these kids today use instead of carts now).
The announcers coming in on the graveyard shift were probably both in a hurry and...well...
North Korea has an unknown capacity to make highly enriched uranium. We’ve long noticed that the single facility that North Korea has shown off to outsiders seems smaller than North Korea’s newly renovated capacity to mine and mill uranium; we naturally wondered where all that extra uranium is going. (My research institute thinks it might be fun to estimate how much uranium North Korea enriches based on how much it mills, if you know anyone with grant money burning a hole in her pocket.)
I do take some bittersweet satisfaction in this excerpt though...
There was a common view that the North Koreans, well, kind of sucked at making nuclear weapons. That was certainly my first impression. But there was always another possibility, one that dawned on me gradually. According to a defector account, North Korea tried to skip right toward relatively advanced nuclear weapons that were compact enough to arm ballistic missiles and made use of relatively small amounts of plutonium. That should not have been surprising; both Iraq and Pakistan similarly skipped designing and testing a more cumbersome Fat Man-style implosion device. The disappointing yields of North Korea’s first few nuclear tests were not the result of incompetence, but ambition. So, while the world was laughing at North Korea’s first few nuclear tests, they were learning — a lot.
Do note that there was a post on this very blog positing that very thing 4 years ago.
A further perusal of the archives for predictions we hope to botch reveals that we've been beating the drum about DPRK and Iranian cooperation for some time. We were doing so as early as three years ago*.
It's not like there's no support for this unwelcome hypothesis, see here, here, here, here, here, here and here.
There is a report here, (PDF) that has some worrisome revelations...
A delegation of Iranian nuclear experts headed by Mohsen Fakhrizadeh- Mahabadi, director of the Iranian NW project, was covertly present at the
third NK nuclear test in February 2013. This test was apparently based – unlike the previous plutonium-core-based field tests – on an HEU (highly enriched uranium) core nuclear device (as, presumably, were the fourth and fifth nuclear tests, which took place in 2016). In 2015, information exchanges and reciprocal delegation visits reportedly took place that were aimed at the planning of nuclear warheads. These include four NK delegations that visited Iran up until June 2015, one month before the VND was completed. It may be noted that in August 2015, a new gas centrifuge hall apparently became operational in the NK main uranium enrichment facility.
The emphasis is mine. The significance is alluded to in the first Jeffery Lewis quote above. The larger point regarding Iranian involvement is worrisome enough.
IF Iran and North Korea are cooperating to the point that Iran has access to a tested bomb design, then their "breakout time" is essentialy whenever they feel like it. Uranium enrichment is a chemical and physical process, not a nuclear one, so it is much easier to conceal as Lewis alludes to in his previously mentioned article. Iran is HUGE has its own uranium supplies and there's no telling what sorts of facilities they have squirreled away in the Zargos mountains. It is after all, not like we can inspect the place.
So one day, five or so years hence Iran just might shock people...
In any event, this has the potential for their first nuclear test not be a proof of concept exercize, but a simple confirmation that their by then considerable nuclear stockpile will go "bang" when they want it to. They have centrifuges that we KNOW about. If they ran reactor grade uranium through them, they could make 25 bombs a year.
But really....how bad could that actually be?
This is another area we hope not to be prescient on. We ran the math on that question some time ago in this click-baity assesment of a potential summer blockbuster plot and realized that they only needed 30 nukes to largely knock the world into the 7th century. far less actually, since that number includes a lot of ocean and icecap.
Alternatively, they might just be able to field a sizable nuclear arsenal without warning.
While we are on the subject of things that we hope to be utterly off base on it should be noted in reference to Pakistan's numerous tactical nuclear warheads that an ISIS or Al Quaeda affiliated group getting ahold of even a very small warhead or being sold HEU by....somebody (see above), to make their own that the potential for mayhem on a continental scale is worrisome. If an EMP were to leave Europe without power, given the current ethno-political tensions there, well....that could be very bad indeed.
It still seems likely that the next use of nukes in anger will involve a conflict on the subcontinent, but there are a lot more things that we hope the blog is wrong about.
* (note that tl;dr of a post also referenced a report that the Norks had developed miniaturized nuclear warheads...one that only became widely known recently)
Dispatch From the Disaster Department
My sister, you may recall has recently had a hernia operation. She can't pick my nephew up, which has vexxed him quite a bit. My nephew, it should be noted has JUST learned the level 0 skill "Barely Walk". Over the weekend, he decided to express his displeasure at not being carried by somehow unlocking the level 4 skill "Flying Tackle".
Ouch.
Anyway...after much agony and mad scrambling, my sister is now back (again) from the hospital. The prognosis is inconclusive. There may be stitches loose. If things don't improve in a few days she goes back under the knife.
Now for the second time in three years there are large numbers of troops involved. Unlike the 2014 crisis, this is complicated by a third party and the fact that the diplomatic exchanges between the two most powerful players consist mainly of ultimatums.
OK. What happened? China also claims a parts of Bhutan. India has a defense agreement with Bhutan. While the China Bhutan border dispute was being reviewed by international bodies China marched into a Bhutanese mountain pass called Doklam (which borders India and China) and began building a highway (part of their NewSilkRoad project). India then sent in troops (as per their agreement with Bhutan) and forcibly removed the Chinese contractors and escorting soldiers out of Bhutan. Both sides have been moving troops into the area ever since and diplomatic exchanges have gotten more heated.
While this was going on, India has been rocked by a spy scandal involving their perpetual rival (and China's ally) Pakistan. In the last few days, Pakistan has just started poking along the Indo-Pakistani border and Kashmir is heating up again which is likely further unnerving India as they send troops north to Sikhim.
China India and Pakistan are all nuclear powers.
Kyle Mizokami goes over the impact of a China India war that escalates beyond the skirmish level.
A hypothetical war between India and China would be one of the largest and most destructive conflicts in Asia. A war between the two powers would rock the Indo-Pacific region, cause thousands of casualties on both sides and take a significant toll on the global economy.* Geography and demographics would play a unique role, limiting the war’s scope and ultimately the conditions of victory.
He notes that both India and China have "no first use" policies regarding nukes. However, in war, especially with high stakes, agreements get thrown out. (Remember use of Poison gas was forbidden by the Hague Convention in 1907. Parts of France are still uninhabitable today in part because of its use between 1915 and 1918 ).
The estimated short term impact of soot from a very limited exchange between India and Pakistan (low yields and only 100 detonations) is visualized here. It's comparable to a big volcano and could affect crop yields for a year.
An exchange that went all out between China and India or just India and Pakistan would be worse of course. This doesn't even touch on the extent of fallout affecting nearby countries or the incomprehensible suffering and slaughter that will result from a couple going off over Shanghai, Delhi, Mumbai or Hyderabad.
Mizokani's piece above notes that this could turn on naval action. (Ironic given the location of the dispute). A good chunk of China's trade passes through the Indian Ocean and India has a sizable navy. Furthermore, Aridhaman and Arihant, (India' two SSBNs) would be high priority targets for China, so you'd expect the Chinese to be taking measures in that direction if things were going to get serious.
There's more on this situation and the strategic incentives in play for both India and China here.
In other words, control over the Doklam plateau constitutes a "win-win†for the PLA; both a knife to India’s jugular and shield to blunt its sharpest spear. With existential stakes for Delhi, and Beijing posturing growing more uncompromising by the day, there’s no end in sight to the longest standoff at the China-India border in over three decades.
Posted by: Wonderduck at Fri Aug 4 20:23:52 2017 (N8AOb)
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When flying rats, known as pigeons, crapped on my airplane and ruined the fabric, I eradicated them with my Daisy air rifle. The great advantage of that method is that it's quite safe: you aren't going to poison neighbour's dog by accident with it.
Posted by: Pete Zaitcev at Sat Aug 5 00:32:50 2017 (pjL8P)
Posted by: The Brickmuppet at Sat Aug 5 10:46:22 2017 (KicmI)
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I think he said "re your pigeons, practice the three S's: shoot, shovel, shut up."
Posted by: Rick C at Sat Aug 5 20:08:32 2017 (ITnFO)
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Pete, for air rife pigeon eradication porn, find "Ted's Holdover" on YouTube. He actually airguns pests at local farms for a living.
Posted by: Mauser at Sun Aug 6 14:46:58 2017 (TYvUn)
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Oh.
OH!
The doves!
OK. That makes sense now. Alas there are appear to be dovelings, so no violation of the local bird sanctuary laws are being considered. I've got a fan as a white noise generator which helps a lot.
Posted by: The Brickmuppet at Mon Aug 7 19:00:55 2017 (KicmI)
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Incidentally, I'm pretty sure you've mentioned this before, but there are archives and galleries of Ryu's Form Site available in many places, for those who are interested. Google is your friend.
Posted by: The Brickmuppet at Thu Jul 20 20:19:17 2017 (KicmI)
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I had not heard that before. Very nice, Mauser. +1 internets, sir.
Posted by: David at Thu Jul 20 21:43:46 2017 (JMkaQ)
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...and Mauser's video reminds me of this classic space song:
Posted by: Wonderduck at Fri Jul 21 22:14:55 2017 (wd10W)
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I swear I first found that song either here or maybe on Wonderduck's Pond.
Posted by: Mauser at Fri Jul 21 23:35:57 2017 (TYvUn)
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Oh, the band also has a whole album called Sputnik that is like this.
Posted by: Mauser at Fri Jul 21 23:37:00 2017 (TYvUn)
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You sure didn't find it over at The Pond! I've never heard of PSB before this... but after listening to seven or eight songs and watching a few live performances, I'm a fan now.
Posted by: Wonderduck at Sat Jul 22 10:59:57 2017 (aTO62)
Posted by: Rick C at Wed Jul 19 17:01:07 2017 (ECH2/)
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I get 86 days, but I wasn't counting today.
You see, there are 30 days in September, a month that was, until just now, astrologically obscured by this year's August eclipse.
It might also have been obscured by chronotatic distortion from the timey whiney wokeness signals triggered by The Doctor again regenerating as a honkey.
The point is that any errors that may or may not have been present in earlier versions of this post are not our fault.
That is our story.
And we are sticking to it.
Posted by: The Brickmuppet at Wed Jul 19 20:47:02 2017 (KicmI)
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86, 87, I'm the guy with the gun.
I was, uh, commenting yesterday.
Posted by: Rick C at Wed Jul 19 23:37:53 2017 (ITnFO)
Ross 128 is a tad under 11 light years away, and is currently the 12th closest star to Earth. There are some (as yet unconfirmed) indications of a gas giant or brown dwarf in orbit around it.
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In re your glasses-girl's comment: is the title "To Serve Man"?
Posted by: fillyjonk at Wed Jul 19 17:29:57 2017 (ex2D8)
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That is the reference yes.
Note that there are, at this time, no indications of any culinary enchiridion in the signals from Ross 128.
But that doesn't mean we should be complacent.
Posted by: The Brickmuppet at Wed Jul 19 20:53:51 2017 (KicmI)
An effete' southern dandy who, by night, stalks the streets of Savannah as a tough as nails vigilante with a bobcat or panther motif. This could actually work!
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After that, scandal! Grape Ape is found to have been performing in purpleface all these years!
Posted by: mikeski at Tue Jul 18 19:26:51 2017 (JlqQx)
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Look it up, the Flinstones comic was apparently extremely grim, written from the perspective of the animals captured and enslaved to be their household appliances. (The grieving over the death of the vacuum-cleaner baby mammoth was supposed to be very touching).
Posted by: Mauser at Tue Jul 18 20:18:01 2017 (TYvUn)
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DC saw how Marvel threw up a big middle finger to their fans and decided they wanted some of that, I guess.
Posted by: Rick C at Wed Jul 19 12:55:42 2017 (ITnFO)
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I dunno.
As you say, some of those, particularly Captain Hydra, were just gestures of contempt towards the fandom, but a gay Snagglepuss doesn't really change...anything.
The Suicide Squad crossover with the Bananna Splits is certainly cause for concern, but on the whole this thing strikes me as silly and bizarre as opposed to the very hatefull vibe I've gotten from some of these re-boots.
Posted by: The Brickmuppet at Wed Jul 19 21:07:45 2017 (KicmI)
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A lot of this that's being done, especially with older properties...I think we've just gone beyond any of it mattering. On the public stage, anyway, most of the public considers it all farce or intended insult regardless. When all given actions of a particular intent or character are no longer taken seriously except by those that engage in those actions...the action has no power. You could turn Superman into crack-smoking, evil, lesbian Nazi engineered from Ronald Reagan's ashes...no more people are going to get upset than would get upset by a much lesser offense. I think we've been "shocked" numb already.
Posted by: Ben at Wed Jul 19 21:40:10 2017 (S4UJw)
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Yeah, I pretty much stopped paying attention to these gimmicks when Marvel dug deep into the archives and made one of their Old West heroes gay. They're hoping for praise and outrage, but I can't even muster up an eye-roll any more.
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